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Omaha's U.S. House race will test candidates' ability to reach beyond party lines
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+ By
Clay Masters
A 'Blue Dot' sign is viewed along the entrance to a farmhouse on Oct.
− Fresh Air Wild Card with Rachel Martin It's Been a Minute Planet Money Get NPR+ More Podcasts & Shows Search Newsletters NPR Shop Tiny Desk New Music Friday All Songs Considered Music Features Live Sessions About NPR Diversity Support Careers Press Ethics Omaha's U.S.
+ 24, 2024 near Omaha, Neb.
− House race will test candidates' ability to reach beyond party lines Omaha, Neb., is home to a toss-up Congressional race this year.
+ Mario Tama/Getty Images hide caption
OMAHA, Neb.
− Voters have shown a willingness to vote for moderate candidates from both parties, but has the definition of a moderate now changed?
+ – Nebraska's second congressional district remains one of the few places in the country with competitive races where persuading voters across party lines could still make the difference in a candidate's success this November.
The Republican nominee, Brinker Harding, who was endorsed by President Trump, ran unopposed in Tuesday's primary.
Yet the Democratic primary remains too close to call with Denise Powell holding a narrow lead over Nebraska State Sen.
− Elections Omaha's U.S. House race will test candidates' ability to reach beyond party lines May 12, 20265:35 PM ET Heard on All Things Considered From By Clay Masters Omaha's U.S. House race will test candidates' ability to reach beyond party lines Listen · 4:35 4:35 Transcript Toggle more options Download Embed Embed "> <iframe src="https://www.npr.org/player/embed/nx-s1-5815289/nx-s1-9767506" width="100%" height="290" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" title="NPR embedded audio player"> Transcript Loading... Omaha, Neb., is home to a toss-up Congressional race this year. Voters have shown a willingness to vote for moderate candidates from both parties, but has the definition of a moderate now changed? Sponsor Message
MARY LOUISE KELLY, HOST:
A few hundred miles south, there's a place in Nebraska that's known for not being predictable when it comes to how voters cast their ballots. We're talking about Nebraska's second congressional district. It's not a lock for Republicans, despite the state being red. In the run-up to the midterm elections, we asked Minnesota Public Radio's Clay Masters to help us learn more about the political leanings of voters across the Midwest. And our first stop is the city of Omaha.
+ John Cavanaugh, according to the latest results by The Associated Press.
− (CROSSTALK)
CLAY MASTERS, BYLINE: High school students gather at Central High in downtown Omaha on a recent Saturday morning.
+ Republican Rep.
− They're eating doughnuts and drinking orange juice before heading out to pick up trash in the city.
+ Don Bacon has held the seat since 2017 but announced his retirement last year.
− Omaha Mayor John Ewing Jr. is here to thank them for their volunteer work.
+ The city of Omaha, which makes up much of the state's second congressional district, is known for not leaning as far right when compared to Nebraska as a whole.
− UNIDENTIFIED PERSON: She was too embarrassed to say anything to you, so (laughter)...
+ Loading...
− JOHN EWING JR: Thank you. Well, thank you for being here through the day. And thank you for doing that. I truly appreciate it.
+ While Republicans in this congressional district have the most registered voters, Democrats and independent voters combined outnumber them, according to recent data from the Nebraska Secretary of State.
− MASTERS: Ewing is not on the ballot this go round but whose defeat of a three-term incumbent Republican by nearly 14 points last year does say something about voters in this congressional district. Jimmie Foster is a teacher at this school and is supervising the student cleanup. Foster says he wasn't necessarily surprised that Ewing defeated incumbent Republican Jean Stothert in the officially nonpartisan race.
+ Omaha is also known as the blue dot when it comes to electoral politics.
− JIMMIE FOSTER: It was more of just an oh, and that was kind of like, oh, all right. Usually, unless there's something major, controversial happen (ph), I just assume the incumbent's going to win again. So that was it. So (laughter)...
+ The Democratic primary attracted large amounts of outside spending spurred in part by Democratic aligned donors and groups who were concerned that a Cavanaugh win would solidify a Republican supermajority in the state legislature.
− MASTERS: Ewing has been a name in Omaha for years.
+ Cavanaugh currently serves as a Nebraska State Senator representing a safely Democratic district in central Omaha.
− He was a deputy chief with the city police department and served as county treasurer. Ewing says he sees himself as a public servant, not as a politician, and that voters here are not so polarized.
+ If Cavanaugh heads to Washington, Nebraska's Republican governor would get to appoint a replacement to finish out his term, which ends in 2028.
− EWING: I believe that the vast majority of voters are somewhere in the middle.
+ Even though Republicans already have a supermajority in the officially nonpartisan legislature, some Democrats worry losing a seat in a reliable district could have consequences at the statehouse, including changing how the state votes for president to eliminate the blue dot.
− MASTERS: The city is known for not leaning as far right when compared to Nebraska as a whole.
+ Cavanaugh and his supporters have said they are confident in the ability of Democratic legislative candidates to flip at least one seat to offset the potential loss.
Nebraska is one of two states, the other being Maine, that does not use a winner-take-all approach to awarding electoral votes.
− While Republicans in this congressional district have the most registered voters, Democrats and independents combined outnumber them. Ewing has advice for those running for Congress this year.
+ Two electoral votes are awarded to the winner of the statewide popular vote, and one vote is awarded to the winner of the popular vote in each of the state's three congressional districts.
− EWING: If you appeal to them and you give them that message, and you show them that you can do it based on what you've done in the past and your willingness to partner across party lines and all of the other artificial things that divide us, you can win.
+ That helped Democratic presidential candidates, like Vice President Kamala Harris in 2024, who picked up one electoral vote here even as many voters in the second Congressional district split their ballot, choosing Bacon for reelection the same year.
− MASTERS: Voting across party lines is something the incumbent Republican representing this district says he's done.
+ Elections National mood is against Republicans, but redistricting could help prop them up "I think I've been able to show that I'm not a Republican first," Bacon told ABC's KETV when he announced his retirement last year.
− In an interview last year announcing his retirement, Representative Don Bacon told Omaha ABC affiliate KETV he's not afraid to go against his party.
+ "I'm a Christian American, somewhere over here I'm Republican, but I've been willing to take tough votes."
During that interview, Bacon also highlighted his 2021 vote for the bipartisan infrastructure bill.
− (SOUNDBITE OF ARCHIVED RECORDING)
DON BACON: I think I've been able to show that I'm not a Republican first.
+ Harding has received President Trump's "total endorsement" in this race.
− I'm a Christian, conservative - or a Christian American. Somewhere over here, I'm Republican. But I've been willing to take tough votes, whether it's certifying the election, which I believe was constitutional.
+ Even if Harding solidifies his Republicans behind him, he would need to pick up some voters who identify as independents or even Democrats.
− MASTERS: Taking those tough votes that buck President Trump is increasingly rare. Bacon supported bipartisan bills like the 2021 Infrastructure Act. He thinks that's helped him in a district that has a strong number of Democratic and nonpartisan voters. There's a competitive primary on the Democratic side to replace Bacon in Congress. While a more moderate candidate has won here, politics is increasingly polarized. At a busy Omaha intersection, voter Daniel Vecellio is walking out of a new public library here. He considers himself far on the left but questions whether the term moderate really means anything anymore.
+ Democrats, meanwhile, think Bacon's retirement gives them one of the best chances this year to flip a district.
− DANIEL VECELLIO: It's really hard to define what moderate is between, like, what the outward appearance of moderate is versus what I think, moderate positions or overall popular positions actually are.
+ Last year, Mayor John Ewing Jr., a Democrat and the city's first Black mayor, defeated three-term incumbent Republican Jean Stothert last year in the officially nonpartisan race by nearly 14 points.
− MASTERS: Another big race voters across Nebraska will weigh in on this November? - a U.S. Senate race where incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts is running for reelection. There's an independent candidate who thinks he can win by taking the center lane.
+ Ewing has been a familiar name in Omaha for years; he was a Deputy Chief with the Omaha Police Department and served as Douglas County Treasurer.
− DAN OSBORN: I don't put a whole lot of stock into colors and letters next to names.
+ Ewing said he sees himself as a public servant, not a politician and that voters in Omaha are not so polarized.
− MASTERS: This is Dan Osborn. He gave Nebraska's other Republican senator a run for her money in the 2024 election when there were no Democrats running. Despite Osborn's loss, he says he connected with voters from both major political parties.
+ "I believe that the vast majority of voters are somewhere in the middle," Ewing said in a recent interview.
− OSBORN: We agree mostly on 90% of the issues. It's - you know, it's the wedge issues that they want to keep us divided on where the struggle comes in.
+ Ewing has advice for those seeking office.
− MASTERS: In this state that's reliably Republican, Nebraska's second congressional district remains one of the few places in the country where persuading voters across party lines could still make the difference. For NPR News, I'm Clay Masters in Omaha.
+ "If you appeal to them, and you give them that message, and you show them that you can do it based on what you've done in the past, and your willingness to partner across party lines and all of the other artificial things that divide us, you can win," Ewing said.
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+ Nebraska Public Media's Molly Ashford contributed to this report
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